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Global EV Outlook 2019

2. Prospects for electric mobility development

several cities in Chile and Colombia, and a few others in Latin America (China Dialogue, 2019). In Australia, companies such as Yutong and Zhongtong have also begun trials for some routes (Australasian Bus & Coach, 2019).

Trucks

In 2018, OEMs announced ambitious plans to electrify their product lines and some of the first models have become commercially available. Significant plans to electrify mediumand heavy-duty vehicles have been announced by DAF, Daimler, MAN, Navistar, Nikola, PACCAR, Volkswagen and Volvo (Daimler, 2019a, 2019b, 2019c; Hurt, 2018; Randall, 2019a; (DAF Trucks, 2018); MAN, 2018a, 2018b; Volvo Trucks, 2018).32 Emerging OEMs such as Tesla and Thor Trucks and others have joined incumbent OEMs with their announcements to roll out production (Kolodny and Petrova, 2018; Tesla, 2019b).

Figure 2.2. Heavy-duty electric truck models announced for commercialisation

Gross Vehicle Weight (tonnes)

45

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Daimler

Freightliner

Daimler

Freightliner

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

40

 

 

 

 

 

 

eM2

 

 

 

eCascadia

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Nikola One 2021

 

 

VW MAN eTGM, 4x2

 

 

 

 

 

Scania R 450 Hybrid

 

 

Nikola Tre

2023

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tesla Semi

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2021

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tesla Semi - Long range

 

 

 

35

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Volvo FE Electric

BYD T9

Renault D Wide Z.E.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

30

 

 

 

 

 

VW MAN City truck

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

VW MAN CitE 2021

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

VW MAN eTGM, 6x2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

25

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2021

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

DAF LF Electric

Daimler E-Fuso One 2022

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

20

 

Daimler eActros 2021

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Volvo FL Electric

 

Open - retrofitted

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Renault D Z.E.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

15

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fuel cell electric

 

 

Fuso eCanter

Emoss EMS 18

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Emoss range extender

Battery electric

 

 

10

 

 

 

 

Emoss EMS 16

 

 

 

 

In production

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Eforce One E44 2018

 

 

 

 

 

Customer trials

 

 

5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Prototype

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

 

 

Cummins AEOS BYD T7

BYD T5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Catenary-enabled hybrid

 

 

0

200

 

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

1 400

1 600

1 800

 

 

Range (kilometres)

Notes: Heavy-duty electric trucks here have a gross vehicle weight > 15 tonnes. Model launch in 2019 or before if no other year indicated.

Sources: E Force One - E Force One (2018). EMOSS - EMOSS (2018) and Allison Transmission (2018). Cummins AEOS - Baumann (2018). eFuso and eActros - Daimler (2018b; 2018c). MAN - MAN (2018a; 2018c). Volvo FL Electric and FE Electric - Volvo Group (2018). Tesla Semi - Tesla (2019b); Ayre (2018).

A growing number of electric heavy-freight truck models will hit the market soon, offering larger sizes and wider driving ranges.

Efforts are concentrated around the electrification of medium-duty trucks that are mostly used for urban delivery or waste collection. These categories are the most favourable for electrification due to relatively short driving range requirements (around 200 km). All OEMs with electric ambitions have announced at least one model for this segment and models by

32 These plans mention driver comfort and noise reduction as important benefits yielded by electrification, in addition to the traditional benefits of reduced fuel costs, emissions and pollution.

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