- •Foreword
- •Table of contents
- •1. Executive summary
- •Overview
- •Energy sector transformation
- •Taxation
- •Energy market reform
- •Energy security and regional integration
- •Key recommendations
- •2. General energy policy
- •Country overview
- •Energy supply and demand
- •Energy production and self-sufficiency
- •Energy consumption
- •Key institutions
- •Policy and targets
- •Energy sector transformation and independence
- •Taxation
- •Assessment
- •Recommendations
- •3. Oil shale
- •Overview
- •Supply and demand
- •Policy and regulatory framework
- •Industry structure
- •Environmental impact from oil shale production and use
- •Future of oil shale
- •Assessment
- •Recommendations
- •Overview
- •Supply and demand
- •Oil production
- •Trade: Imports and exports
- •Shale oil
- •Oil products
- •Oil demand
- •Market structure
- •Prices and taxes
- •Upstream – Oil shale liquefaction
- •Infrastructure
- •Refining
- •Ports and road network
- •Storage
- •Emergency response policy
- •Oil emergency reserves
- •Assessment
- •Oil markets
- •Oil security
- •Recommendations
- •5. Electricity
- •Overview
- •Supply and demand
- •Electricity generation
- •Imports and exports
- •Electricity consumption
- •Electricity prices and taxes
- •Market structure
- •Wholesale and distribution market
- •Interconnections
- •Synchronisation with continental Europe
- •Network balancing
- •Electricity security
- •Generation adequacy
- •Reliability of electricity supplies
- •Assessment
- •Security of supply
- •Recommendations
- •6. Natural gas
- •Overview
- •Supply and demand
- •Consumption of natural gas
- •Trade
- •Production of biomethane
- •Market structure
- •Unbundling of the gas network
- •Wholesale
- •Retail
- •Price and tariffs
- •Financial support for biomethane
- •Infrastructure
- •Gas network
- •Recent changes in network
- •LNG terminal
- •Storage
- •Infrastructure developments
- •Biomethane infrastructure
- •Regional network interconnections
- •Gas emergency response
- •Gas emergency policy and organisation
- •Network resilience
- •Emergency response measures
- •Assessment
- •Recommendations
- •7. Energy, environment and climate change
- •Overview
- •Energy-related CO2 emissions and carbon intensity
- •Climate policy framework
- •The EU climate framework
- •Domestic climate policies
- •Policies to reduce emissions from the electricity sector
- •Policies to reduce emissions from the transport sector
- •Improving the energy efficiency of the vehicle fleet
- •Alternative fuels and technologies
- •Public transport and mode shifting
- •Taxation
- •Assessment
- •Recommendations
- •8. Renewable energy
- •Overview
- •Renewable energy supply and consumption
- •Renewable energy in total primary energy supply
- •Renewable electricity generation
- •Renewables in heat production
- •Renewables in transport
- •Targets, policy and regulation
- •Measures supporting renewable electricity
- •Wind
- •Solar
- •Hydropower
- •System integration of renewables
- •Bioenergy
- •Measures supporting renewable heat
- •Measures supporting renewables in transport
- •Assessment
- •Recommendations
- •9. Energy efficiency
- •Overview
- •Energy consumption by sector
- •Residential sector
- •Industry and commercial sectors
- •Transport
- •Energy efficiency policy framework and targets
- •Targets for 2020 and 2030
- •Energy efficiency in buildings
- •Residential building sector
- •Public sector buildings
- •Support measures
- •District heating
- •District heating market and regulation
- •District heating energy efficiency potential and barriers
- •Industry
- •Transport
- •Assessment
- •Buildings and demand for heating and cooling
- •District heating
- •Industry
- •Challenges
- •Recommendations
- •10. Energy technology research, development and demonstration
- •Overview
- •Public spending on energy RD&D
- •General RD&D strategy and organisational structure
- •Energy RD&D priorities, funding and implementation
- •Industry collaboration
- •International collaboration
- •IEA technology collaboration programmes
- •Other engagements
- •Horizon 2020
- •Baltic collaboration
- •Nordic-Baltic Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) on Energy Research Programme
- •Monitoring and evaluation
- •Assessment
- •Recommendations
- •ANNEX A: Institutions and organisations with energy sector responsibilities
- •ANNEX B: Organisations visited
- •Review criteria
- •Review team
- •IEA member countries
- •International Energy Agency
- •Organisations visited
- •ANNEX C: Energy balances and key statistical data
- •ANNEX D: International Energy Agency “Shared Goals”
- •ANNEX E: List of abbreviations
- •Acronyms and abbreviations
- •Units of measure
4. OIL
Figure 4.2 Domestic oil production, 2008-18
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Thousand barrels per day (kb/d) |
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20
15
10
5
0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Conventional crude oil*
Natural gas liquids*
Unconventional oils
Total
IEA 2019. All rights reserved.
Estonia’s oil production is entirely unconventional oil – shale oil from oil shale.
* Non-existent.
Source: IEA (2019b), Oil Information 2019, www.iea.org/statistics.
Trade: Imports and exports
As there are no refeneries in the country, Estonia does not import crude oil and relies entirely on imports, mostly diesel oil and motor gasoline, to meet its oil product demand. At the same time, the vast majority of shale oil production of Estonia is exported. In 2018, 99% of total shale oil produced in the country was exported, an increase on the 93% share in 2017, accounting for three-fifths of total oil exports. With the production level of shale oil soaring over the last decade, the country’s total oil import dependency1 fell from 73% to 24% in 2018 (Figure 4.3).
Figure 4.3 Estonia’s oil supply, demand and import dependency, 2008-18
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80% |
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30 |
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70% |
Domestic oil |
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(kb/d) |
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60% |
production |
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day |
20 |
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50% |
Total oil |
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per |
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40% |
demand |
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barrels |
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15 |
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30% |
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Thousand |
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(right hand |
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10 |
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Import |
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20% |
dependency |
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5 |
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10% |
scale) |
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0 |
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0% |
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2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
2012 |
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
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IEA 2019. All rights reserved.
Estonia’s rising production and exports of shale oil over the past decade have reduced oil import dependency by half.
Source: IEA (2019b), Oil Information 2019, www.iea.org/statistics.
1 Import dependency = net imports ÷ total demand.
47
ENERGY SECURITY
4. OIL
Shale oil
Over the last decade, Estonia’s shale oil exports have increased by more than 250%, to reach 21.4 kb/d in 2018 (Figure 4.4). Estonia exports the majority of its shale oil to European countries, such as the Netherlands, Belgium and Latvia. Export destinations have become more diverse in recent years; in 2018, Saudi Arabia became the largest recipient of Estonian shale oil and accounted for 20% of the total, followed by the Netherlands with 18%, a sharp fall from 50% previously. The rest was exported to Denmark (7%); Belgium (6%); Latvia (4%); Singapore, Sweden and the United States (3% respectively); and others/unspecified (36%).
Figure 4.4 Estonia’s net shale oil exports per country, 2008-18
24
21
18
15
12
9
6
3
0
Thousand barrels per day (kb/d)
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Others/unspecified |
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Latvia |
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Egypt |
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Singapore |
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Saudi Arabia |
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United States |
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Sweden |
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Denmark |
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Belgium |
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Netherlands |
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2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
2012 |
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
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IEA 2019. All rights reserved.
Estonia’s shale oil exports have increased in volumes and diversified in destination.
Source: IEA (2019b), Oil Information 2019, www.iea.org/statistics.
Oil products
Estonia is fully reliant on imports for refined oil products. Over the last decade, the level of its net imports of oil products has increased by 21%, to reach 26.4 kb/d in 2018. In the same year, the total volume of oil products imported to Estonia was 40.8 kb/d (Figure 4.5). While the total volume of imports has increased by 87% over the last decade, the import sources are still mostly confined to its neighbouring countries, like Lithuania, accounting for 45% of the total share in 2018, followed by the Russian Federation (26%), Finland (18%), the United Kingdom (2%) and others. By product type, gas/diesel oil accounts for the largest share of oil products imported, with a 42% share in 2018, followed by 29% for motor gasoline and 25% for fuel oil. Lithuania is the largest supplier of transport fuels, whereas fuel oil comes almost entirely from Russia.
Oil product imports have increased significantly since 2012, when Estonia began to reexport oil products; in 2018, Estonia re-exported 35% of the imported oil products (Figures 4.6). The United States and Canada have been major destination countries, with the Netherlands and Saudi Arabia becoming important trading countries in recent years. Similar to shale oil export trends, the increased variety of export destinations is notable; in 2017, Saudi Arabia and Singapore were added to the destination list for the first time and the portions of oil products delivered to Argentina and Nigeria increased visibly in 2018.
48
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4. OIL |
Figure 4.5 Estonia’s oil products imports per country, 2008-18 |
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45 |
Thousand barrels per day (kb/d) |
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40 |
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Others/unspecified |
35 |
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Russia |
30 |
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United Kingdom |
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25 |
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Poland |
20 |
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15 |
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Finland |
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10 |
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Lithuania |
5 |
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Total |
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0 |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
2012 |
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
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IEA 2019. All rights reserved.
Although Estonia’s oil product imports continue to increase, the import sources are still largely limited to the Baltic region.
Note: Imports of final oil products are reported as coming from the country of last consignment. Source: IEA (2019b), Oil Information 2019, www.iea.org/statistics.
By fuel type, fuel oil exports accounted for about 48% of Estonia’s total oil products exports in 2018, and motor gasoline around 43%. Canada and the United States buy almost all of Estonia’s gasoline exports, whereas the Netherlands is the predominant recipient of its fuel oil, with some increasing volumes headed to Saudi Arabia and Singapore.
Figure 4.6 Estonia’s oil products exports per country, 2012-18
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Others/unspecified |
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14 |
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Argentina |
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12 |
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Nigeria |
10 |
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Saudi Arabia |
8 |
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Netherlands |
6 |
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Denmark |
4 |
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Canada |
2 |
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United States |
0 |
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Total |
2012 |
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
IEA 2019. All rights reserved.
Estonia began re-exporting oil products in 2012 and their destinations have been greatly diversified since.
Source: IEA (2019b), Oil Information 2019, www.iea.org/statistics.
49
ENERGY SECURITY