Учебное пособие 800645
.pdf378
|
|
|
|
|
Ф |
|
|
|
|
|
. . |
|
, . . |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Стр |
|
Сер ее |
, |
|
|
|
, |
|
|
|
, |
|
|
|
|
, . |
|
, e-mail: roббie@вandeб.ru, |
|
.: 8-920-403-03-20 |
|
||
е цер |
Н |
е |
, |
|
|
|
, |
, . |
|
, e-mail: ms.lilinka@mail.ru, |
.: 8-908-131-91-19 |
|
|||
|
|
. |
|
|
, |
, |
. |
|
|
. |
|
|
|
|
|
К |
|
: |
, |
, |
. |
|
|
«Н |
|
|
|
|
|
; |
, |
|
|
|
|
|
, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
». |
|
|
|
|
|
З |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
, |
|
|
|
|
, |
|
. |
|
|
, |
|
|
, |
|
, |
|
|
|
|
|
[1]. |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
|
, |
. |
, |
|
|
|
|
( |
|
. 1). |
. 1. щ
© |
. ., |
. ., 2018 |
147
|
. |
|
, |
|
, |
( |
, |
|
|
|
|
||||
|
) |
|
|
). |
|
( |
, |
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ф |
( |
. ForesiРht — « |
, |
») — |
|
||
|
, |
|
, |
|
|
|
|
|
, |
, |
|
|
, |
|
|
|
. |
|
|
, |
|
|
|
|
( |
|
|
forecasting) |
, |
. |
|
Ц |
Ф |
|
|
|
, |
|
|
- |
|
. |
|
|
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
: |
|
, |
, |
, |
|
, |
|
. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
, . . |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
: |
|
|
|
|
, |
, |
, |
; |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
|
|
, |
|
|
|
: |
, |
|
|
|
, |
, |
( |
- |
, |
|
|
|
), |
, |
. |
.; |
|
|
, |
, |
. |
. [2]. |
|
: |
|
|
. |
|
|
||||
|
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
.
. 2.
148
|
|
, |
|
. |
|
|
|
|
|
, |
, |
, |
|
, |
|
. |
, |
, |
, |
|
|
|||
|
|
|
: |
|
|
|
: |
( |
) |
|
|
( |
|
|
|
|
); |
|
|
|
|
( |
); |
|
|
|
( |
|
); |
|
|
|
( |
, |
|
|
|
); |
|
|
|
|
. |
|
, |
|
|
, |
, |
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
( |
. 3): |
|
|
( |
); |
|
|
|
( |
|
); |
|
|
( |
|
) [3]. |
Ф
|
|
. 3. Ф |
|
|
|
, |
4 |
, |
|
|
|
|
, |
|
( |
|
), |
, |
, |
. |
, |
|
, |
– |
|
|
( |
||
|
|
). |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- |
« |
» |
. 4. |
|
149
|
|
. 4. |
Ф |
|
|
6 |
|
: |
|
17 |
, 10 |
|
|
|
|
||
1. |
|
( |
) |
|
|
|
|
, (DОХpСТ), |
|
|
|
|
|
(SМОЧКrТШs), |
|
|
|
|
|
|
, |
|
|
|
|
(TrОЧН EбЭrКpШХКЭТШЧ), |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(SТmЮХКЭТШЧ MШНОХХТЧР), |
|
|
|
|
/ |
(CrТЭТМКХ/KОв TОМСЧШХШРТОs), |
|
|
|
|
; |
; |
|
. |
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
: |
|
|
|
SWOT- |
, (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats –analysis), |
|
|||
STEEPV- |
, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
( |
rШss-impact – Analysis), |
|
|
|
|
|
(EЧЯТrШЧmОЧЭКХ SМКЧЧТЧР), |
|
|
|
|
(EбpОrЭ PКЧОХs), |
|
|
|
|
|
, |
(CrШss ImpКМЭ AЧКХвsТs), |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
(RОХОЯКЧМО TrООs), |
|
|
|
|
|
BSC |
ХКЧМО sМШrО МКrН. |
|
3. |
|
( |
): |
|
|
|
|
, |
|
|
|
|
- |
, |
|
|
|
|
|
(ЛrКТЧsЭШrmТЧР), |
|
|
|
|
|
, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
150 |
|
|
|
, |
(MШrpСШХШРТМКХ AЧКХвsТs), |
|
||
|
|
|
|||
|
(EбpОrЭ PКЧОХs), |
|
|
||
|
|
(MШrpСШХШРТМКХ AЧКХвsТs). |
|
||
4. |
(аТХН МКrН), |
|
: |
|
|
|
|
|
(TОМСЧШХШРв RШКНmКppТЧР, TRM), |
||
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
(RОХОЯКЧМО TrООs). |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
, |
, |
К |
: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
|
( |
, |
, |
); |
|
|
|
|
; |
|
|
|
|
|
|
; |
|
|
|
|
|
( |
, |
); |
/ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
; |
|
|
|
|
|
[4]. |
|
, |
|
|
|
, |
, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
). |
|
|
( |
, |
, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
( |
|
|
|
|
) |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
|
|
, |
|
|
|
|
|
, |
. |
|
, |
|
|
, |
|
|
|
|
: |
|
Т |
|
|
|
|
|
1. |
; |
|
|
|
, |
; |
|
|
|
|
; |
2. |
|
, |
|
|
|
; |
|
|
|
, |
; |
3. |
|
|
|
|
|
; |
|
|
|
|
|
; |
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
|
|
|
|
|
; |
|
|
|
|
|
; |
|
|
|
|
|
5. |
|
|
|
|
« |
»; |
|
|
. |
|
, |
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
: |
|
|
|
|
; |
|
1) |
|
|
|
; |
|
2) |
|
|
|
. |
|
3) |
|
|
|
|
151
,
|
|
: |
( |
); |
|
( |
); |
|
|||
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
: |
, |
|
, |
. . [5] |
|
|
|
|
|
— |
|
, |
|
|
|
Ф |
- |
|
|
||
, |
, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
, |
|
|
. |
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
, |
|
|
: |
|
|
|
, |
|
, |
|
|
|
|
|
( |
, |
|
|
|
, |
|
); |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
|
|
( |
, |
|
|
, |
|
|
- |
); |
|
|
|
— |
|
||
|
|
|
, |
, |
|
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
|
( |
, |
|
|
, |
|
|
|
|
|
). |
: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
, |
( |
, |
), |
|
|
( |
; |
|
|
) |
( |
|
|
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
); |
|
|
|
|
|
/ |
|
( |
|
, |
|
|
). |
|
|
|
|
. |
|
, |
|
|
. 5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
152
. 5. щ
,
.
.
,
.
« |
» |
. 1. |
|
, |
, |
. |
|
, |
|||
|
|
||
153 |
|
|
, |
, |
, |
, |
. . [6]. |
|
1
щ
: |
- |
|
- |
|
|
+ |
|
|
|
( |
, |
, |
. .) |
|
( |
|
) |
|
|
« |
» ( |
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
) |
|
|
( |
|
|
|
|
|
|
) |
|
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
, |
|
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
« |
» |
||
( |
|
|
). |
« |
» |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
, |
|
|
|
|
|
, |
|
|
, |
, |
|
|
|
|
|
, |
|
, |
|
|
|
|
|
( . |
. 2). |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
, |
|
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2 |
||
|
|
« |
|
|
» |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
( |
|
+ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
154 |
|
|
|
|
|
.2
|
|
/ |
|
|
|
|
2- |
|
; |
|
|
|
( |
|
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
; |
|
|
|
; |
( |
|
|
|
|
|
; |
|
|
|
|
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
( |
, |
|
|
|
( |
|
) |
|
|
|
, |
) + |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
), |
( |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
( |
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
|
), |
|
|
|
|
||
, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
( |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
, |
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
). [7] |
|
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
, |
|
|
|
, |
|
|
|
, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
|
, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
, |
|
|
|
|
( |
|
|
), |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
|
, |
|
|
|
, |
|
|
|
||
|
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1. |
. . |
: |
, |
|
|
/ . . |
. - 2012 . |
|
||
2. |
. |
. « |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
». |
. |
. |
. |
5 ( |
2008). - |
., 2008. - . 155- |
||||
172. |
|
|
. . |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
|
|
|
|
|
, 2006 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
, |
0.3. |
|
|
|
||
4. |
|
|
|
Rapid |
Foresight, https://leader- |
|||||
id.ru/upload/file/get/289/ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
5. |
. . |
|
: |
/ |
. |
., |
. ., |
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
||||||
. ., |
|
. . – .: |
|
« |
|
», 2013. – 216 . |
|
|
||
6. |
|
|
|
СЭЭp://НШcplayer.ru/27517121-Rukovodstvo-po-primeneniyu- |
tehnologicheskogo-forsayta-dlya-opredeleniya-budushchih-potrebnostey-v-kompetenciyah.html
7. |
« |
|
, |
|
: |
2030», |
. |
|
|
155 |
|
PREDICTION OF COMPETENCES BASED ON THE
FORSIGHT METHODOLOGY
Y.S. Stroganova, A.N. Beytser
Stroganova Yana Sergeevna, Voronezh state technical University,candidate of technical Sciences, associate Professor, chair of construction management, Russia, Voronezh, e-mail: roxxie@yandex.ru, tel.: 8-920-403-03-20
Beytser Alina Nikolaevna, Voronezh state technical University,undergraduate student of the Department of construction management, Russia, Voronezh, e-mail: ms.lilinka@mail.ru, tel.: 8- 908-131-91-19
Annotation. The method of foresight, its functions, methods and purposes of application is considered. The general structure of foresight competencies is presented and the key competences of the employee of the future are determined.
Keywords. Foresight, competence, future.
References
1.Sizov V.S. Foresight: concept, objectives and methodology [Forsajt: ponyatie, zadachi i metodologiya] V. S. Sizov. 2012.
2.Tretyak V. P. The Organizational support of application of technology foresight. Science. [ Organizatsionnoe obespechenie primeneniya tekhnologii forsajta] / V. P. Tretyak. Innovations. Education. Issue 5 (February 2008). M., 2008. P. 155-172.
3.Kalyuzhnova N. Me. Discussion of the regional aspect of Technological foresight at the Fourth Baikal economic Forum, 2006
4.Electronic resource, training manual 0.3. Rapid Foresight, https://leaderid.ru/upload/file/get/289/
5.Innovative foresight as a tool of competitive development of business structures: monograph [Innovatsionnyj forsajt kak instrument konkurentosposobnogo razvitiya
predprinimatel'skikh struktur: monografiya]. Dudin M. N., Lyasnikov N. In. Safin F. M., Egorushkin P. A. – M.: Publishing House "Science", 2013. - 216 p.
6.Electronic resource http://docplayer.ru/27517121-Rukovodstvo-po-primeneniyu- tehnologicheskogo-forsayta-dlya-opredeleniya-budushchih-potrebnostey-v-kompetenciyah.html
7.Linking the educational system, labor markets and innovative economy: the results of the Competence foresight 2030 Pavel Luksha, SKOLKOVO Moscow school of management.
156